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TECHPRECISION CORP (TPCS)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue was $9.09M (+2% y/y) with gross margin expanding to 27% (from 11% y/y); EPS improved to $0.08 versus $(0.06) y/y, driven by favorable mix, lower first‑article and one‑off loss provisions, and production efficiencies .
  • Backlog stood at $47.8M at September 30, 2025 (deliverable over the next one to three fiscal years) with management reiterating expectations for continued gross margin improvement as this backlog is executed .
  • Segment dynamics: Ranor delivered strong profitability (Q2 gross profit $2.21M), while Stadco improved but remained a modest operating loss; management cited improved pricing, customer mix and throughput, with remaining headwinds from legacy and underpriced one‑time contracts .
  • Liquidity and leverage: Cash was $0.22M and total debt $7.3M at quarter end; working capital turned positive to $0.3M from negative $1.7M at FY25 year‑end, reflecting better operating cadence and billing progress .
  • Potential catalysts: on‑time filing, continued margin expansion, tranche‑based renegotiations at Stadco, and visible defense backlog support narrative momentum; no formal numerical guidance provided .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “We improved consolidated gross margin to 27% on $9.1 million in revenue…consolidated gross profit totaled $2.5 million,” reflecting favorable mix and lower cost of revenue across segments .
  • Backlog strength and durability: “Customer confidence remains high with our backlog reaching $47.8 million…we expect to deliver this backlog over the next one to three fiscal years with expectations for gross margin improvement” .
  • Segment execution: CFO highlighted Statco’s y/y gross profit improvement and Ranor’s strong margin drop‑through; consolidated operating income turned positive to $0.9M versus $(0.5)M y/y .

What Went Wrong

  • Statco remained in the red despite improvement; management cited lingering headwinds from legacy contracts and underpriced one‑time contracts, with continued tranche‑based renegotiations required .
  • Interest expense rose 12% y/y on higher revolver borrowings; cash remains tight at $0.22M, underscoring the importance of daily cash management and progress billings .
  • First‑article loss reserves remain a risk area; CEO emphasized case‑by‑case complexity and the need for increased customer collaboration to mitigate first‑article learning curve impacts .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue ($USD Millions)$8.946 $7.379 $9.086
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$1.014 $1.030 $2.458
Gross Margin (%)11% 14% 27%
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$(0.488) $(0.463) $0.942
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(0.601) $(0.597) $0.825
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.06) $(0.06) $0.08
EBITDA ($USD Millions, Non‑GAAP)$0.209 $0.239 $1.644

Segment breakdown (Q2 2026):

SegmentRevenue ($USD Thousands)Cost of Revenue ($USD Thousands)Gross Profit ($USD Thousands)
Ranor$4,373 $2,271 $2,208
Stadco$4,819 $4,463 $250
Intersegment Elimination$(106) $(106)
Consolidated$9,086 $6,628 $2,458

KPIs and Balance Sheet/Liquidity:

KPIQ1 2026Q2 2026
Backlog ($USD Millions)$50.1 (as of June 30, 2025) $47.8 (as of Sept 30, 2025)
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$0.143 $0.220
Working Capital ($USD Millions)$(0.7) $0.3
Total Debt ($USD Millions)$5.8 (Q1 press release context) $7.3

Estimate comparison (coverage note):

MetricQ2 2026 ConsensusActual
Revenue ($USD Millions)n/a*$9.086
EPS ($USD)n/a*$0.08
EBITDA ($USD Millions)n/a*$1.644

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY26/Q3 onwardNone providedNone providedMaintained (no guidance)
Gross Margin1–3 year backlog deliveryDirectional: “expectations for gross margin improvement”Directional reiteratedMaintained directional (no range)
OpEx / SG&AFY26Not guidedNot guidedn/a
Tax RateFY26Not guidedNot guidedn/a
Segment‑specificFY26Not guidedNot guidedn/a

Note: Management provided qualitative expectations (margin expansion) but no quantitative ranges .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2025 (Previous Mentions)Q1 2026 (Prior Quarter)Q2 2026 (Current)Trend
Backlog & visibility$48.6M backlog, expected over 1–3 years; strong defense demand Backlog reached $50.1M; confidence highlighted $47.8M backlog; reiterated margin expansion expectations Stable/strong; slight sequential dip but within delivery timing
Stadco pricing & first‑article loss reservesBegan tranche renegotiations; reversed some loss provisions 35–40% of problematic contracts addressed; further renegotiation ongoing Improved throughput and lower provisions; still facing legacy/underpriced contract headwinds Improving, but still work to do
Grants/equipment funding (Ranor)$21M+ Navy‑funded equipment grants; efficiency gains expected Execution of $21M+ grants ongoing; contributes to margin Continued execution; priority use for Navy parts; 10‑year performance agreement on one funding Execution progressing; efficiency tailwind
Capacity/utilization & talentDemand ramp capability; constraints include resources/talent Pursuit list; second shift discussed; talent retention a hurdle Better throughput at Stadco; daily cash management; focus on repeat work Operational cadence improving; talent still a constraint
Supply chain/CFM timingLumpy delivery tied to customer‑furnished materials Emphasis on lumpiness and first‑article cadence Mix and throughput improvements; risk mitigation on first‑article Persistent industry dynamic, mitigated tactically

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We improved consolidated gross margin to 27% on $9.1 million in revenue…Cost of revenue was lower at both Ranor and Stadco as a direct result of favorable mix at both segments.”
  • CEO: “Customer confidence remains high with our backlog reaching $47.8 million…We expect to deliver this backlog over the next one to three fiscal years with expectations for gross margin improvement throughout the period.”
  • CFO: “Net income was $0.8 million for the quarter, or $0.08 per share…Consolidated cost of revenue decreased by 16%…due to favorable customer mix and productivity gains at both segments.”
  • CEO on first‑article risks: “It’s a case‑by‑case basis…first article activity…needs to be watched carefully…the risks need to be mitigated…we will increase…customer collaboration”
  • CFO on grant accounting: assets and offsetting liabilities set up; depreciation over useful life; one funding includes a 10‑year performance agreement .

Q&A Highlights

  • Stadco profitability path: Management is working tranche‑by‑tranche to renegotiate legacy pricing, reduce loss reserves, and focus on repeat work; walk‑aways from unprofitable contracts remain possible but expected to be limited .
  • First‑article dynamics: High complexity and multi‑touch processes drive first‑article risk; mitigation through experience, planning, and collaboration is ongoing .
  • Grants usage & priority: Navy‑funded equipment prioritized for Navy parts, with flexibility to use on other parts when available; structured accounting and performance obligations clarified .
  • Growth opportunities: Continued participation in Virginia‑class and Columbia‑class submarines; new quoting in air and submarine defense; capacity exists to meet increased program demand, subject to CFM and talent constraints .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus coverage for TPCS Q2 FY2026 was unavailable for EPS, revenue, and EBITDA; actuals reported were used for comparison (no beats/misses can be determined without coverage) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Implications: In absence of consensus, the narrative hinges on y/y and sequential improvement, margin expansion, backlog durability, and Stadco renegotiation progress.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin story improving: 27% gross margin with EBITDA up sharply sequentially; mix, pricing progress, and lower loss provisions are tangible drivers .
  • Backlog supports multi‑year visibility: $47.8M backlog to be delivered over 1–3 years, with management expecting continued margin expansion as newer equipment scales and repeat work increases .
  • Stadco turnaround is the swing factor: Progress is evident, but residual legacy and one‑off contracts sustain risk; watch for additional tranche renegotiations and first‑article loss reserve reductions in coming quarters .
  • Liquidity tight but improving working capital: Positive working capital in Q2 and active cash management are encouraging; revolver usage raises interest costs—monitor cash, covenant status, and customer advances .
  • Near‑term trading lens: On‑time filing and return to profitability plus margin expansion can support sentiment; lack of formal guidance makes upcoming backlog‑to‑revenue conversion and Statco progress the key data points .
  • Medium‑term thesis: Defense exposure (submarines/air programs), sole/single‑source positions, and Navy‑funded equipment underpin scalable efficiency; talent and CFM timing are execution variables to watch .
  • Action items: Track Q3 gross margin trajectory, segment profitability (especially Stadco), contract repricing progress, backlog conversion cadence, and cash generation against revolver dynamics .