TC
TECHPRECISION CORP (TPCS)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue was $9.09M (+2% y/y) with gross margin expanding to 27% (from 11% y/y); EPS improved to $0.08 versus $(0.06) y/y, driven by favorable mix, lower first‑article and one‑off loss provisions, and production efficiencies .
- Backlog stood at $47.8M at September 30, 2025 (deliverable over the next one to three fiscal years) with management reiterating expectations for continued gross margin improvement as this backlog is executed .
- Segment dynamics: Ranor delivered strong profitability (Q2 gross profit $2.21M), while Stadco improved but remained a modest operating loss; management cited improved pricing, customer mix and throughput, with remaining headwinds from legacy and underpriced one‑time contracts .
- Liquidity and leverage: Cash was $0.22M and total debt $7.3M at quarter end; working capital turned positive to $0.3M from negative $1.7M at FY25 year‑end, reflecting better operating cadence and billing progress .
- Potential catalysts: on‑time filing, continued margin expansion, tranche‑based renegotiations at Stadco, and visible defense backlog support narrative momentum; no formal numerical guidance provided .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “We improved consolidated gross margin to 27% on $9.1 million in revenue…consolidated gross profit totaled $2.5 million,” reflecting favorable mix and lower cost of revenue across segments .
- Backlog strength and durability: “Customer confidence remains high with our backlog reaching $47.8 million…we expect to deliver this backlog over the next one to three fiscal years with expectations for gross margin improvement” .
- Segment execution: CFO highlighted Statco’s y/y gross profit improvement and Ranor’s strong margin drop‑through; consolidated operating income turned positive to $0.9M versus $(0.5)M y/y .
What Went Wrong
- Statco remained in the red despite improvement; management cited lingering headwinds from legacy contracts and underpriced one‑time contracts, with continued tranche‑based renegotiations required .
- Interest expense rose 12% y/y on higher revolver borrowings; cash remains tight at $0.22M, underscoring the importance of daily cash management and progress billings .
- First‑article loss reserves remain a risk area; CEO emphasized case‑by‑case complexity and the need for increased customer collaboration to mitigate first‑article learning curve impacts .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown (Q2 2026):
KPIs and Balance Sheet/Liquidity:
Estimate comparison (coverage note):
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
Note: Management provided qualitative expectations (margin expansion) but no quantitative ranges .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We improved consolidated gross margin to 27% on $9.1 million in revenue…Cost of revenue was lower at both Ranor and Stadco as a direct result of favorable mix at both segments.”
- CEO: “Customer confidence remains high with our backlog reaching $47.8 million…We expect to deliver this backlog over the next one to three fiscal years with expectations for gross margin improvement throughout the period.”
- CFO: “Net income was $0.8 million for the quarter, or $0.08 per share…Consolidated cost of revenue decreased by 16%…due to favorable customer mix and productivity gains at both segments.”
- CEO on first‑article risks: “It’s a case‑by‑case basis…first article activity…needs to be watched carefully…the risks need to be mitigated…we will increase…customer collaboration”
- CFO on grant accounting: assets and offsetting liabilities set up; depreciation over useful life; one funding includes a 10‑year performance agreement .
Q&A Highlights
- Stadco profitability path: Management is working tranche‑by‑tranche to renegotiate legacy pricing, reduce loss reserves, and focus on repeat work; walk‑aways from unprofitable contracts remain possible but expected to be limited .
- First‑article dynamics: High complexity and multi‑touch processes drive first‑article risk; mitigation through experience, planning, and collaboration is ongoing .
- Grants usage & priority: Navy‑funded equipment prioritized for Navy parts, with flexibility to use on other parts when available; structured accounting and performance obligations clarified .
- Growth opportunities: Continued participation in Virginia‑class and Columbia‑class submarines; new quoting in air and submarine defense; capacity exists to meet increased program demand, subject to CFM and talent constraints .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus coverage for TPCS Q2 FY2026 was unavailable for EPS, revenue, and EBITDA; actuals reported were used for comparison (no beats/misses can be determined without coverage) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Implications: In absence of consensus, the narrative hinges on y/y and sequential improvement, margin expansion, backlog durability, and Stadco renegotiation progress.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin story improving: 27% gross margin with EBITDA up sharply sequentially; mix, pricing progress, and lower loss provisions are tangible drivers .
- Backlog supports multi‑year visibility: $47.8M backlog to be delivered over 1–3 years, with management expecting continued margin expansion as newer equipment scales and repeat work increases .
- Stadco turnaround is the swing factor: Progress is evident, but residual legacy and one‑off contracts sustain risk; watch for additional tranche renegotiations and first‑article loss reserve reductions in coming quarters .
- Liquidity tight but improving working capital: Positive working capital in Q2 and active cash management are encouraging; revolver usage raises interest costs—monitor cash, covenant status, and customer advances .
- Near‑term trading lens: On‑time filing and return to profitability plus margin expansion can support sentiment; lack of formal guidance makes upcoming backlog‑to‑revenue conversion and Statco progress the key data points .
- Medium‑term thesis: Defense exposure (submarines/air programs), sole/single‑source positions, and Navy‑funded equipment underpin scalable efficiency; talent and CFM timing are execution variables to watch .
- Action items: Track Q3 gross margin trajectory, segment profitability (especially Stadco), contract repricing progress, backlog conversion cadence, and cash generation against revolver dynamics .